Explore · Settle the Argument

Settle the Argument.

You've already had it. Now go settle it.

Every card here starts with something fans actually say — then runs it against the same canonical Verdict projection that ranks the board. Matchup Central predicts the game. This settles the argument.

The argument everybody has

“Put them through our schedule and see what happens.”

TRADE SCHEDULES

Swap two schedules, same venues, and run both seasons out. Who was carrying a schedule, and who was being carried by one.

Team
Trade with
GT
Georgia Tech

Manageable schedule of their own · Georgia's is tough

Was
7-4
On Georgia's schedule
5-6
-1.4 wins
Expected wins now
5.3
Was
6.7
Where it lands
6+45%
UGA
Georgia

Tough schedule of their own · Georgia Tech's is manageable

Was
9-2
On Georgia Tech's schedule
10-1
+1 wins
Expected wins now
9.7
Was
8.7
Where it lands
10+60%
11-023%
Who benefits
Georgia
+1 expected wins

Georgia picks up about a win on Georgia Tech's slate.

Who gets hurt
Georgia Tech
−1.4 expected wins

Georgia Tech gives back a win and a half on Georgia's slate.

The game that changes everything

Vs Tennessee

Week 2 · Georgia Tech's schedule
UGA
Georgia
76%
to win · favored by 13
GT
Georgia Tech
38%
to win · Tennessee by 5
38-point probability gap

Same game. Same stadium. Verdict sees two very different problems.

Georgia Tech · toughest games they inherit
At
ALA
Alabama
16%
At
MISS
Ole Miss
26%
At
SC
South Carolina
39%
9 games on Georgia's slate they would not have played.
The record test
Georgia Tech: Better than the record will show · No. 37 strength / No. 53 projected wins
Georgia: Record and reality line up · No. 2 strength / No. 6 projected wins
The verdict
Turns out the schedule mattered.

Georgia picks up 1.0 win on Georgia Tech's schedule while Georgia Tech gives back 1.4. That is the schedule talking, not the roster.

Each team is run through the other's exact schedule, same venues. Head-to-head games between the two are set aside so both slates are the same size. 11 of 12 games modeled. Georgia Tech and Georgia play each other, so that game is set aside — neither team can inherit itself.

More arguments to settle

2026 Preseason Model · Partial roster evidence · data as of 2026-07-11. QB continuity and verified personnel changes are included. Returning-production and updated coaching data are still pending. Projections are model estimates for analysis, not guarantees.

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