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Preseason · Who belongs where — and why

The Verdict

There is no way they should be ranked there.

Good. Let's hear the case. All 138 teams weighed on the same evidence — who Verdict says belongs where, and where the rest of the sport sees it differently.

Rankings updateNew rankings Sunday 1:00 PM ET· in 8d 8h
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The Ruling

The Verdict

Tap WHY on any row for the short answer. Tap the team for the whole case.

Rank · Team · The CaseVerdict Score
1
Proj. finish 10-2 · The strongest projected case in the country — 94.5, a 3.8-point edge over Georgia.
94.5
2
Proj. finish 10-2 · 99% playoff odds — the path in is already close to clear.
90.7
3
Proj. finish 10-2 · Big Ten No. 2 of 7 on the board, 88 on the scoreline.
88.0
4
Proj. finish 10-2 · The highest-rated case in the ACC at 86.7.
86.7
5
Proj. finish 9-3 · Draws the heaviest slate up here — SOS 69.5, 6 ranked opponents.
86.2
6
Proj. finish 11-1 · Verdict sees far more here than the AP does — 6 spots more.
84.9
7
Proj. finish 10-2 · The lightest schedule in this tier (SOS 51.3) — fewer chances to prove it.
82.6
8
Proj. finish 8-4 · 6 projected toss-ups — no case swings more week to week.
80.8
9
Proj. finish 8-4 · In the field on strength, but 34% playoff odds — the least secure seat.
77.2
10
Proj. finish 9-3 · Holding a seat at just 35% playoff odds — the margin is thin.
77.0
11
Proj. finish 9-3 · Verdict sees far more here than the AP does — 10 spots more.
77.0
12
Proj. finish 8-4 · 5 projected toss-ups — one of the most volatile slates up here.
76.3
13
Proj. finish 8-4 · Verdict sees far more here than the AP does — 7 spots more.
75.8
14
Proj. finish 8-4 · 3 Top-10 opponents on the schedule — tested early and often.
75.1
15
Proj. finish 9-3 · A soft slate (SOS 53.7) — the case will have to be made in a handful of games.
74.5
16
Proj. finish 7-5 · 3 games against Top-10 teams sit on the schedule.
74.0
17
Proj. finish 7-5 · The Coaches has them 8 spots higher than the evidence does.
73.8
18
Proj. finish 8-4 · Strong at 73.1 — 7.6 expected wins on this schedule.
73.1
19
Proj. finish 7-5 · Verdict sees far more here than the AP does — 7 spots more.
72.4
20
Proj. finish 7-5 · Dead level with No. 21 on score — the order comes down to the evidence beneath it.
70.3
21
Proj. finish 8-4 · Last of the 7 Big Ten cases on the board at 70.3.
70.3
22
Proj. finish 6-6 · A brutal schedule (SOS 69.2) with 7 ranked opponents to survive.
69.4
23
Proj. finish 8-4 · Solid projected profile at 68.4 — 26.1 points behind Ohio State.
68.4
24
Proj. finish 7-5 · Projects 7-5 off a solid 67.7 profile.
67.7
25
Proj. finish 7-5 · The AP has them 11 spots higher than the evidence does.
66.0

Projected finishes are the likeliest final record over each team's full 2026 schedule — every game, non-FBS opponents included.

Why is your team where they are?
Side by Side

Verdict vs. you vs. the people vs. the polls.

Six boards, one row per team: Verdict, your own Top 12, the People's Verdict, the AP, the Coaches and the CFP committee. Read across — every gap is an argument.

The six boardsVerdict· the ruling belowYou· not built yetThe People· 11 fan rankingsAP· Preseason· updated 3d agoCoaches· Preseason· updated 3d agoCFP· not yet released
Team
UGAUGA2133
OREORE3322
MIAMIA467+37+3
ALAALA5513+811+6
TTUTTU6812+612+6
NDND794-35
TEXTEX84-45-34-4
INDIND10116-46-4
UTAHUTAH1121+1021+10
MISSMISS12109-310
TENNTENN131220+718+5
MICHMICH141616
PSUPSU1518+317
LSULSU1611-513-3
OUOU1710-79-8
USCUSC1814-414-4
AUBAUB19
MIZMIZ2025+525+5
WASHWASH2117-419
FLAFLA22
TCUTCU23
FSUFSU24
BYUBYU2514-1115-10
  • Your column is empty. Build your Top 12 and it fills in here beside Verdict's.
  • The CFP committee's first rankings arrive in November — that column fills itself the moment they publish.
Next · the games · Week 0

The board says who belongs. Matchup Central says who wins.

NC State at Virginia — Verdict has Virginia by 2 at 55%.

See what Verdict predicts this week
The Other Judgment

The People's Verdict

Where does everybody else have it? The community's own Top 12 — the playoff field as fans see it. It never influences the Official Verdict.

11 rankings counted
The People's Verdict is forming

11 rankings submitted · the community board opens once enough fans have ruled.

Add yours
The Record

What does Verdict actually weigh?

Six categories, applied identically to all 138 teams — no eye test, no reputation, no benefit of the doubt.

Team Strength

Quality talent, weighted right.

Résumé

Wins measured against real competition.

Game Control

How decisively games were won.

Statement Wins

Signature results that move the case.

Consistency

Week in, week out — no excuses.

Case Weaknesses

The gaps every case must answer.

Your Turn

You've seen the ruling. Now render your own.

Twelve spots. One playoff field. Weigh the evidence yourself, build the board you believe in, and see exactly where you and Verdict part ways.

VerdictThe Courthouse of College Football

Every Team. Every Game. Follow the Evidence.

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Verdict is an independent college football analytics and editorial project. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by the NCAA, College Football Playoff, conferences, schools, teams, polls, broadcasters, or data providers. Team and organization names are used only for factual identification. All third-party trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

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