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Settle the Argument.

You've already had it. Now go settle it.

Every card here starts with something fans actually say — then runs it against the same canonical Verdict projection that ranks the board. Matchup Central predicts the game. This settles the argument.

“Nobody is getting through that stretch.”

THE GAUNTLET

Pick a team
LSU
LSU
Weeks 10-12 · 3 straight
Vs
ALA
Alabama
39%
Vs
TEX
Texas
47%
At
TENN
Tennessee
41%
Clean
7%
One loss
31%
Two or more
62%
What it does to the season
Survive it 3-0
9-3
Most likely finish
Drop one
8-4
Most likely finish

Outside the stretch they project 6.0 wins from 9 games.

Nobody's getting through that clean.

7% of the time LSU comes out of it unbeaten. 31% of the time they come out with one loss — and Alabama is the one that takes it.

The record test
LSU: Better than the record will show · No. 16 strength / No. 37 projected wins

The toughest consecutive run on the schedule, by average win probability. Every combination of results in the stretch is counted exactly. All 12 games modeled, non-FBS opponents included.

More arguments to settle

2026 Preseason Model · Partial roster evidence · data as of 2026-07-11. QB continuity and verified personnel changes are included. Returning-production and updated coaching data are still pending. Projections are model estimates for analysis, not guarantees.

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