Settle the Argument.
You've already had it. Now go settle it.
Every card here starts with something fans actually say — then runs it against the same canonical Verdict projection that ranks the board. Matchup Central predicts the game. This settles the argument.
“They're not going 10-2.”
RUN THEIR SEASON
A coin flip on the number.
10-2 is the middle of it, with a reasonable season landing on 12-0.
Every game on the schedule is weighed by its own win probability, and every possible combination of results is counted exactly. All 12 games modeled, non-FBS opponents included.
2026 Preseason Model · Partial roster evidence · data as of 2026-07-11. QB continuity and verified personnel changes are included. Returning-production and updated coaching data are still pending. Projections are model estimates for analysis, not guarantees.
